Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.148770 0.176582 0.207797 0.245374 0.289331 0.339074 0.399583
2025-06-29 0.104948 0.139628 0.182835 0.240414 0.314908 0.407789 0.532117
2025-07-06 0.080575 0.116918 0.165917 0.236377 0.334603 0.466106 0.654834
2025-07-13 0.068584 0.106858 0.161893 0.246066 0.370669 0.547234 0.815023
2025-07-20 0.061748 0.102299 0.163924 0.263275 0.418031 0.648081 1.013545
2025-07-27 0.055057 0.096455 0.162601 0.274430 0.456762 0.739635 1.207898
2025-08-03 0.047468 0.087667 0.155000 0.274015 0.476503 0.803345 1.365364
2025-08-10 0.039722 0.077185 0.142840 0.263928 0.478452 0.837945 1.478673
2025-08-17 0.032925 0.067189 0.129907 0.250377 0.472187 0.857338 1.567440
2025-08-24 0.029246 0.062403 0.125538 0.251351 0.491172 0.921084 1.738070
2025-08-31 0.025101 0.055988 0.117147 0.243527 0.492792 0.953808 1.856198
2025-09-07 0.022789 0.052940 0.114817 0.246976 0.515831 1.027318 2.055547
2025-09-14 0.020206 0.049073 0.110667 0.247031 0.533886 1.096481 2.260329
2025-09-21 0.017591 0.044700 0.104872 0.243009 0.543551 1.151253 2.444957
2025-09-28 0.015369 0.040812 0.099498 0.239038 0.552654 1.205661 2.634500
2025-10-05 0.014390 0.039755 0.100302 0.248843 0.592461 1.326751 2.972859
2025-10-12 0.013965 0.040014 0.104194 0.266237 0.651118 1.493297 3.423383
2025-10-19 0.013194 0.039226 0.105440 0.277510 0.697159 1.637386 3.840060
2025-10-26 0.011888 0.036738 0.102085 0.277091 0.715788 1.723077 4.137105
2025-11-02 0.010289 0.033110 0.095236 0.266897 0.709619 1.752180 4.309873
2025-11-09 0.008761 0.029373 0.087488 0.253202 0.692963 1.755106 4.422446
2025-11-16 0.007995 0.027794 0.085377 0.254185 0.713534 1.847848 4.755171
2025-11-23 0.007004 0.025305 0.080295 0.246278 0.709971 1.881868 4.950207